Diana Shnaider vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4

🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Katerina Siniakova have met 3 times since 2025; Diana Shnaider leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Shnaider leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Siniakova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Siniakova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Diana Shnaider and Katerina Siniakova are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 296 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | -1.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Siniakova's 30%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 36 | L 61 46 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 26 75 16 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 36 60 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 36 75 61 | W 67 61 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 26 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | L 64 67 57 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | L 36 57 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 26 76 36 | L 26 46 |
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | W 64 61 |
| Lin Zhu | W 26 63 61 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–55 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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