Diana Shnaider vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#39 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Katerina Siniakova have met 3 times since 2025; Diana Shnaider leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Shnaider leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 4 sets to Siniakova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 84% | 16/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Siniakova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Diana Shnaider and Katerina Siniakova are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 274 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 7, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | +6.25u | -1.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Siniakova's 30%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | W 63 36 60 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 36 75 61 | W 67 61 61 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 26 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | L 64 67 57 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | L 36 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | L 36 57 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 26 76 36 | L 26 46 |
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | W 64 61 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 26 62 64 | L 36 62 67 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 60 | W 57 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Liudmila Samsonova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Jessica Pegula
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rebeka Masarova
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 16
Yue Yuan
Berlin
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 51% |
| Sets won | 55% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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