Denis Shapovalov vs Valentin RoyerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer have met 2 times since 2025; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–0. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Royer's 1. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Valentin Royer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Royer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Royer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Valentin Royer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.65 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -4.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -0.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 2,244 mi · 3,611 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Royer's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | L 67 57 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | W 16 75 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 36 76 36 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | L 46 57 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | L 26 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | L 46 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 64 16 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 46 76 63 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 62 | L 46 64 67 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Tyler Zink
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Pablo Carreno Busta
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–71 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 51% |
| Sets won | 43% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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