Denis Shapovalov vs Valentin RoyerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer have met 2 times since 2025; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–0. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Royer's 1. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Valentin Royer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Royer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Royer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Denis Shapovalov and Valentin Royer are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Valentin Royer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -5.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -0.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Royer's 10%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | L 26 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | L 26 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 64 26 46 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | L 46 36 75 75 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | L 67 57 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | W 16 75 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 36 76 36 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | L 46 57 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | L 26 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Adam Walton
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 23
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–62 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 42% |
| Sets won | 52% | 45% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.