Denis Shapovalov vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Taro Daniel have met 3 times since 2019; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. Shapovalov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 8 sets to Daniel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Daniel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 23, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Daniel's 0%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | L 76 57 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | L 36 76 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | L 64 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–61 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 66% |
| Sets won | 52% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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