Denis Shapovalov vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Taro Daniel have met 3 times since 2019; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. Shapovalov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 8 sets to Daniel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Daniel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 18, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 23, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +63.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +12.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Daniel's 25%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | L 36 76 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | L 64 26 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | W 36 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–56 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 63% |
| Sets won | 43% | 60% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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