Denis Shapovalov vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Tallon Griekspoor have met 3 times since 2024; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Griekspoor's 3. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Griekspoor 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
May 23, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +0.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | L 67 64 46 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 75 61 | L 46 63 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | L 36 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 61 16 67 26 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 60 64 76 | W 76 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 62 67 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | L 57 16 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 43% |
| Sets won | 52% | 45% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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