Denis Shapovalov vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Sho Shimabukuro have met 1 time since 2026; Denis Shapovalov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 2 sets to Shimabukuro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 67% | 29/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 35% | 25/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 66% | 29/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Shimabukuro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -7.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Shimabukuro posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 46 64 61 | L 26 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | L 26 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 67 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 76 | W 64 36 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 64 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 57 64 57 | L 26 46 |
| Zachary Svajda | L | W |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | L 67 16 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | W 63 64 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 63 62 | L 76 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–74 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 58% |
| Sets won | 52% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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