Denis Shapovalov vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin have met 3 times since 2022; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Cup - Sydney in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 2–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Safiullin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roman Safiullin won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Roman Safiullin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Safiullin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Safiullin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Denis Shapovalov and Roman Safiullin are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Jan 5, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 8, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Safiullin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Roman Safiullin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -10.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -1.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 10 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Safiullin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | W 75 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | L 46 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | W 63 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 60 64 76 | W 75 36 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | W 63 63 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 60 46 63 36 76 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | W 46 64 76 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 26 67 75 60 26 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Rinky Hijikata
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alexis Galarneau
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Flavio Cobolli
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Bu Yunchaokete
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 69% |
| Sets won | 52% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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