Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆDenis Shapovalov
#47 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
2 meetings ยท sets 3โ2

๐ช๐ธRafael Jodar
#13 ยท 19 yrs ยท R
Denis Shapovalov and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Dallas Open - Dallas in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 3 sets to Jodar's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 79% | 41/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 22% | 15/68 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 64% | 35/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 84% | 41/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Jodar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Jodar
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +2.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +0.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi ยท 2,972 km | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km |
| Route | MEX โ USA | USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | W 63 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | W 63 62 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | W 36 63 16 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W 63 61 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 64 46 76 | W 62 63 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | W 61 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 61 60 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 26 67 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | W 76 46 61 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | L 14 24 41 24 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Jiri Lehecka
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington ยท Final
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 38โ81 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 75% |
| Sets won | 44% | 67% |
| Games won | 49% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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