Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Dallas Open - Dallas in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 3 sets to Jodar's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 10/21 | 77% | 40/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 17/38 | 24% | 16/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 9/25 | 63% | 34/54 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 96% | 46/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 10/21 | 83% | 40/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Jodar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Jodar
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +1.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Shapovalov's 70%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | W 62 61 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 75 61 | W 62 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 63 | W 75 60 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 60 64 76 | W 63 06 61 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | L 26 16 16 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | W 63 62 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | W 36 63 16 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W 63 61 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | W 61 64 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 61 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Bublik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Cristian Garin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Bu Yunchaokete
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–80 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 76% |
| Sets won | 51% | 67% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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