Denis Shapovalov vs Marton FucsovicsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Marton Fucsovics have met 5 times since 2020; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–1. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 9 sets to Fucsovics's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Fucsovics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Marton Fucsovics | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 21% | 6/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 83% | 10/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Fucsovics 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Fucsovics
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 4, 2024
Belgrade Open - Belgrade
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 13, 2023
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 22, 2022
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 20, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Fucsovics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Marton Fucsovics | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +5.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Fucsovics's 33%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 67 26 36 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | L 64 67 26 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Learner Tien
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luca Van Assche
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 29
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Matteo Berrettini
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–39 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 41% |
| Sets won | 43% | 43% |
| Games won | 49% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Fucsovics |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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