Denis Shapovalov vs Liam BroadyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Liam Broady have met 4 times since 2017; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Leon in 2017 on hard. On grass courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. Shapovalov has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 7 sets to Broady's 4. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Wimbledon - London (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Broady | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Liam Broady | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 72% | 31/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 30% | 21/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 47% | 26/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 91% | 40/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Broady 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Broady
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jun 6, 2017
Surbiton
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2, 2017
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 30, 2017
Leon
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Broady | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Liam Broady | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 0–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Shapovalov and Broady posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | L | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dominic Stricker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Marco Cecchinato
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Ozan Baris
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Yuta Shimizu
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Alex Michelsen
Newport Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–71 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 61% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 3 | 0 |
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