Denis Shapovalov vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆDenis Shapovalov
#47 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
6 meetings ยท sets 6โ12

๐ต๐ฑHubert Hurkacz
#46 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
4TitleDenis Shapovalov and Hubert Hurkacz have met 6 times since 2019; Hubert Hurkacz leads 5โ1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 4โ1. Hurkacz has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 6 sets to Hurkacz's 12. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at French Open - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Hurkacz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Hurkacz
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Mar 17, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Aug 20, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Mar 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 11โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi ยท 2,972 km | 1,959 mi ยท 3,153 km |
| Route | MEX โ USA | CAN โ USA โ MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Shapovalov's 44%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 63 67 57 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 60 76 | W 75 46 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | W 64 62 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 46 64 46 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | L 63 36 57 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | W 63 63 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | W 62 63 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | W 63 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ42 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 57% |
| Sets won | 43% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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