Denis Shapovalov vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Hubert Hurkacz have met 7 times since 2019; Hubert Hurkacz leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Hurkacz leads 5–1. Hurkacz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 7 sets to Hurkacz's 14. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at Chengdu Open - Chengdu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Hurkacz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 29, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 17, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 20, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 12 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 50%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | W 64 76 |
| Arthur Gea | L 36 46 | W 76 67 62 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 75 61 | W 62 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 46 67 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 76 | W 63 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 36 75 67 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 63 67 57 |
| Zachary Svajda | L | W 62 76 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 60 76 | W 75 46 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 64% |
| Sets won | 52% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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