Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wDayana Yastremska and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, USA-UKR 3-2 in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Pegula 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 16, 2022
Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, USA-UKR 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 3
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Yastremska's 10%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | W 61 62 | W 16 64 63 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | W 63 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 64 46 06 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 76 26 | W 61 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 06 16 | W 62 64 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 36 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 62 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 76 36 | W 63 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 62 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–66 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 77% |
| Sets won | 48% | 69% |
| Games won | 48% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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