Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
32 meetings · sets 3–2
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Pegula have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, USA-UKR 3-2 in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Pegula 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Pegula are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 8, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round
Apr 16, 2022
Billie Jean King Cup, Qualifiers, USA-UKR 3-2
H Hard · Rubber 3
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 12 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | POL → AUT | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Yastremska's 20%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 64 46 06 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L 36 76 26 | W 61 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 06 16 | W 62 64 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 64 46 57 | W 60 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 36 | W 62 63 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | W 63 63 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 62 61 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | W 61 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 76 36 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–76 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 75% |
| Sets won | 47% | 66% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.