Dayana Yastremska vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
34 meetings · sets 4–6
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 4 times since 2019; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–1. Alexandrova has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alexandrova leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 4 sets to Alexandrova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 37% | 19/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 42% | 14/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Alexandrova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2026
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2025
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Final
Jun 7, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 19, 2019
Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | +1.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | POL → AUT | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Alexandrova posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 62 | L 64 16 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 46 | L 63 06 36 |
| Talia Gibson | W 76 76 | W 57 61 63 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | W 61 67 61 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 63 63 | L 57 26 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | W 63 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 06 16 | W 64 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 57 63 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 45% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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