Dayana Yastremska vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 4–6
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 4 times since 2019; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Miami in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–1. Alexandrova has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alexandrova leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 4 sets to Alexandrova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Alexandrova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 4, 2026
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 2, 2025
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Final
Jun 7, 2022
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 19, 2019
Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | +37.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +5.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Alexandrova posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | W 61 62 | L 46 63 36 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | W 36 64 63 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 62 | L 64 16 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 46 | L 63 06 36 |
| Talia Gibson | W 76 76 | W 57 61 63 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | W 61 67 61 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | W 63 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 46% |
| Sets won | 48% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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