Daria Snigur vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuhan Open - Wuhan
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.69 or longer, Daria Snigur has won 6 of 20 (30%). That is level with the 29% the price implied.
At 1.46 or shorter, Elise Mertens has won 157 of 209 (75%). The price implied 72%, so Elise Mertens has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Elise Mertens meets Daria Snigur in the first round of the Wuhan Open on October 12, a hard court encounter between the world number 14 and number 42. This is their first career meeting. Mertens comes in after playing five matches in two weeks, most recently a loss; Snigur has had six days rest following four matches in the same span.
The pair split results against common opponents this season. Mertens defeated Iga Swiatek, Jasmine Paolini, and Ella Seidel on hard courts, while losing to Daria Kasatkina. Snigur's record against the same group shows a win over Kasatkina but a loss to Swiatek, with victories over Paolini and Seidel. Both players have won 60% of their last ten matches overall.
Mertens plays an aggressive baseline game built on heavy groundstrokes and tends to dictate points from the back. Snigur combines baseline solidity with court coverage and tactical variety. On hard courts, Mertens holds a 60% win rate over her recent sample, while Snigur sits at 70%. The match asks whether Mertens can sustain her power early or Snigur's all-around game will wear down the rallies.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Snigur | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 42/52 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 17/71 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 34/52 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 47/52 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 42/52 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Snigur
👑 The Complete Package
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Snigur and Mertens have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Snigur | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Snigur | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Snigur | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +2.0% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | +3.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Snigur | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Snigur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mertens's 70%).
| Opponent | Snigur | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 26 | W 76 63 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 26 26 | L 36 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 36 76 62 | W 46 76 63 |
| Kaitlin Quevedo | W 64 61 | W 64 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 64 63 | W 61 64 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 36 64 | W 61 46 63 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 76 63 | L 46 16 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 60 63 | W 75 61 |
| Ella Seidel | W 75 36 63 | W 63 64 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 36 76 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Taylah Preston
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Jasmine Paolini
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Katarzyna Kawa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lilli Tagger
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · Final
Jul 26
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–71 matches
| Metric | Snigur | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 62% |
| Sets won | 70% | 59% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |