Daria Kasatkina vs Mirra AndreevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇷🇺Mirra Andreeva
#5 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Mirra Andreeva have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Ningbo Open - Ningbo in 2024 on hard. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasatkina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Andreeva's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mirra Andreeva won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Andreeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Mirra Andreeva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 56% | 29/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 83% | 34/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 76% | 31/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 0, Andreeva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Andreeva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mirra Andreeva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 2, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Oct 20, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Andreeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Mirra Andreeva | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.38 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -1.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Andreeva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | W 61 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 57 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | W 61 67 61 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | W 75 63 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 63 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | W 36 64 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 16 64 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | L 64 67 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | L 76 36 36 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Janice Tjen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Karolina Pliskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Magda Linette
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–58 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 72% |
| Sets won | 47% | 69% |
| Games won | 49% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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