Daria Kasatkina vs Marketa VondrousovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บDaria Kasatkina
#59 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 7โ5

๐จ๐ฟMarketa Vondrousova
#153 ยท 26 yrs ยท Left-Handed
33wDaria Kasatkina and Marketa Vondrousova have met 5 times since 2017; Daria Kasatkina leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Kasatkina leads 2โ1. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Kasatkina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 7 sets to Vondrousova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at French Open - Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Vondrousova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Marketa Vondrousova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 0% | 0/2 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Vondrousova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
๐ช Counterpuncher
Vondrousova
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marketa Vondrousova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 31, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Sep 1, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
May 16, 2019
Rome
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Mar 6, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Round of 64
May 31, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | - |
| ROI % | -51.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Vondrousova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | W 64 57 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 61 46 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Liudmila Samsonova
Adelaide International - Adelaide ยท 1st Round
Jan 13
Magdalena Frech
Brisbane International - Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jan 5
Karolina Muchova
Ningbo Open - Ningbo ยท 1st Round
Oct 14
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 4th Round
Aug 31
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Aug 29
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Oksana Selekhmeteva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Aryna Sabalenka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 4โ35 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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