Daria Kasatkina vs Katerina SiniakovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 11–7
🇨🇿Katerina Siniakova
#87 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Katerina Siniakova have met 7 times since 2017; Daria Kasatkina leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Kasatkina leads 3–1. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–1. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 11 sets to Siniakova's 7. Their most recent meeting: Katerina Siniakova won at Korea Open - Seoul (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Siniakova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Siniakova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,750 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katerina Siniakova.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Sep 18, 2025
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2024
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 17, 2022
European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 17, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 15, 2019
Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 19, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Siniakova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Katerina Siniakova | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -1.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Siniakova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Kasatkina's 22%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | L 64 67 46 | L 36 57 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 26 75 16 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 62 60 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | L 64 67 57 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 26 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 36 57 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | W 62 62 |
| Simona Waltert | L 67 63 46 | W 64 76 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 36 62 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Magda Linette
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Keys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 49% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Siniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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