Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Gabriela RusePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇷🇴Elena Gabriela Ruse
#63 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Elena Gabriela Ruse have met 1 time since 2025; Daria Kasatkina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Ruse's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Gabriela Ruse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Elena Gabriela Ruse | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 10/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 16/34 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 77% | 17/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Gabriela Ruse 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ruse
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Ruse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Elena Gabriela Ruse | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 6–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +1.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Kasatkina's 50%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 63 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 46 26 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 60 75 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | W 75 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 57 36 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 63 63 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Peyton Stearns
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Caty Mcnally
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anna Kalinskaya
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–41 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 56% |
| Sets won | 48% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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