Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Gabriela RusePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇷🇴Elena Gabriela Ruse
#57 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Elena Gabriela Ruse have met 1 time since 2025; Daria Kasatkina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 2 sets to Ruse's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Gabriela Ruse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Elena Gabriela Ruse | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 34% | 18/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 74% | 20/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Gabriela Ruse 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ruse
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elena Gabriela Ruse.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Ruse | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Elena Gabriela Ruse | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -6.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -0.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruse has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | L 64 67 46 | L 62 26 57 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | W 36 64 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 64 36 57 |
| Xinyu Wang | W 16 76 75 | W 63 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | L 46 26 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 60 75 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 16 | W 75 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | L 57 36 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 60 | W 63 63 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | W 26 63 75 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Lilli Tagger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Yeon Woo Ku
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Eva Lys
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–53 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 60% |
| Sets won | 51% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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