Danielle Collins vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Danielle Collins
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
59w5 meetings · sets 4–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Danielle Collins and Naomi Osaka have met 5 times since 2018; Naomi Osaka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–2. Collins has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Collins has taken 4 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Danielle Collins won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Collins | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danielle Collins | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 67% | 22/33 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 27% | 3/11 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 32% | 14/44 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 55% | 18/33 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 60% | 6/10 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 71% | 10/14 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 94% | 32/34 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 22/34 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collins 2, Osaka 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Danielle Collins and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 30, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 6, 2019
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 3, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collins | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.46 |
| ROI % | - | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Collins | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaqueline Cristian
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Coco Gauff
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Viktoriya Tomova
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round
Jul 27
Magda Linette
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 21
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 5
Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches
| Metric | Collins | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 75% |
| Sets won | - | 68% |
| Games won | - | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Collins | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Collins | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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