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Head-to-Head

Danielle Collins vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

DC

🇺🇸Danielle Collins

Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

53w
2–3

5 meetings · sets 4–6

Naomi Osaka

🇯🇵Naomi Osaka

#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

Danielle Collins and Naomi Osaka have met 5 times since 2018; Naomi Osaka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–2. Collins has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Collins has taken 4 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Danielle Collins won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2024).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorCollinsOsaka
Wins in straight sets—69%
Wins a set when losing—33%
Goes to a deciding set—32%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite—52%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog—67%
Tiebreak sets won—64%
Wins after taking set 1—88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1—65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collins 2, Osaka 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Collins

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Osaka

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

Both Danielle Collins and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Feb 6, 2024

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi

H Hard · 1st Round

75
60
Collins

Aug 30, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 1st Round

765
63
Collins

Mar 29, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
16
Osaka

Mar 6, 2019

Indian Wells

H Hard · Round of 32

46
26
Osaka

Oct 3, 2018

Beijing

H Hard · Round of 32

16
06
Osaka

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricCollinsOsaka
W-L-12–4
Avg odds-1.66
ROI %-+7.9%
Units P/L-+1.27u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricCollinsOsaka
Countries—2
Events—2
Matches—6
Distance—350 mi · 563 km
Route—AUT → CAN

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Collins
LLLWLLWW
L

Jaqueline Cristian

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

26
06

Aug 26

L

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

46
627

Aug 8

L

Coco Gauff

Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
64
627

Jul 29

W

Viktoriya Tomova

Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round

63
75

Jul 27

L

Magda Linette

Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

57
46

Jul 21

L

Iga Swiatek

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

26
36

Jul 5

W

Veronika Erjavec

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

64
61

Jul 3

W

Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

63
62

Jul 1

Osaka
LWWWLWLW
L

Elena Rybakina

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

64
657
46

Aug 12

W

Leylah Fernandez

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 10

W

Elise Mertens

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

61
62

Aug 8

W

Panna Udvardy

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

62
64

Aug 6

L

Alexandra Eala

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals

46
26

Aug 1

W

Elisabetta Cocciaretto

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals

46
64
63

Jul 31

L

Karolina Muchova

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

647
46

Jul 7

W

Aryna Sabalenka

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

62
762

Jul 5

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ CollinsOsaka ahead↓ Osaka

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches

MetricCollinsOsaka
Matches won-73%
Sets won-67%
Games won-57%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageCollinsOsaka
Grand Slam10
WTA 50010
WTA 100003

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceCollinsOsaka
Hard23

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Danielle Collins vs Naomi Osaka FAQ

Naomi Osaka leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.