Danielle Collins vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Danielle Collins
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
53w4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Danielle Collins and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Rogers Cup - Montreal in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Pegula leads 2–0. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Collins has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Collins | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danielle Collins | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 54% | 31/57 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 47% | 9/19 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 46% | 35/76 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 50% | 30/60 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 12/19 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 88% | 42/48 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 31/48 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collins 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Danielle Collins and Jessica Pegula are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 28, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 12, 2021
Rogers Cup - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 12 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaqueline Cristian
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Coco Gauff
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Viktoriya Tomova
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round
Jul 27
Magda Linette
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 21
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 5
Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 76–76 matches
| Metric | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 75% |
| Sets won | - | 66% |
| Games won | - | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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