Danielle Collins vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Danielle Collins
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
59w4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wDanielle Collins and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Rogers Cup - Montreal in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Pegula leads 2–0. On hard courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Collins has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Collins | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danielle Collins | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 61% | 31/51 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 47% | 7/15 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 41% | 27/66 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 55% | 29/53 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 58% | 7/12 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 69% | 9/13 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 39/44 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 70% | 31/44 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collins 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collins
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 28, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 12, 2021
Rogers Cup - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.86u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jaqueline Cristian
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Coco Gauff
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Viktoriya Tomova
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal · 1st Round
Jul 27
Magda Linette
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 21
Iga Swiatek
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 5
Veronika Erjavec
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jul 1
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 77% |
| Sets won | - | 69% |
| Games won | - | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Collins | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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