Daniel Elahi Galan vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Elahi Galan and Matteo Arnaldi have met 3 times since 2022; Matteo Arnaldi leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Arnaldi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Galan has taken 4 sets to Arnaldi's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Beijing (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 3/9 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 92% | 12/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 1, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🎾 All-Court
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Elahi Galan.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
May 28, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 30, 2022
US Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +34.3% | -33.3% |
| Units P/L | +4.45u | -2.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 604 mi · 972 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | GER → ITA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Galan's 0%).
| Opponent | Galan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Agustin Gomez | L 57 46 | W 63 57 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Dahlin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pavel Kotov
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Bunschoten Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–46 matches
| Metric | Galan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 50% |
| Sets won | 46% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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