Daniel Elahi Galan vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇴Daniel Elahi Galan
#368 · 30 yrs · R
4w2 meetings · sets 2–2

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#204 · 31 yrs · R
Daniel Elahi Galan and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Santo Domingo in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Galan has taken 2 sets to Varillas's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Elahi Galan won at Braunschweig Challenger (2024).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Cali Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 19 · 5:35 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.00 or longer, Daniel Elahi Galan has won 34 of 66 (52%). The price implied 41%, so Daniel Elahi Galan has beaten it by 11 points.
At 1.74 or shorter, Juan Pablo Varillas has won 38 of 68 (56%). The price implied 60%, so Juan Pablo Varillas has fallen 4 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daniel Elahi Galan and Juan Pablo Varillas meet next at the Cali Challenger on October 19 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 1, Pablo Varillas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🏹 Frontrunner
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,021 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Elahi Galan.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 10, 2024
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2019
Santo Domingo
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +7.1% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | +5.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BUL | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Galan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Varillas's 25%).
| Opponent | Galan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Murkel Dellien | W 64 62 | W 46 75 64 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 62 63 | L 36 67 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 26 26 | L 16 67 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 76 62 | L 36 76 57 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | L 57 46 | W 64 64 |
| Facundo Mena | W 76 76 | L |
| Lautaro Midon | L 46 64 36 | L 67 46 |
| Diego Dedura | L 46 57 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Marko Topo
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Galan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 59% |
| Sets won | 49% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |