Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Damir Dzumhur and Matteo Arnaldi have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Dzumhur has taken 2 sets to Arnaldi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Damir Dzumhur won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dzumhur | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Damir Dzumhur | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 11/22 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 18/34 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dzumhur 0, Arnaldi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dzumhur
🛡️ The Spoiler
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 173 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dzumhur | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Damir Dzumhur | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -8.1% | -50.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.05u | -3.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | POL | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Dzumhur's 30%).
| Opponent | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 46 | L 63 46 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 16 | W 75 26 64 |
| Alex Molcan | W 36 64 63 | L 36 16 |
| Quentin Halys | W 46 63 61 | L 63 16 67 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 26 63 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 76 36 62 57 36 | L 46 46 |
| Jaume Munar | L 26 67 | W 63 36 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 | W 63 67 76 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 64 46 57 | L 67 76 26 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 36 36 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Final
Jul 18
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Matteo Arnaldi
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Henrique Rocha
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 13
Zsombor Piros
Iasi Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches
| Metric | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 50% |
| Sets won | 43% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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