Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Damir Dzumhur and Matteo Arnaldi have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Dzumhur has taken 2 sets to Arnaldi's 3. Their most recent meeting: Damir Dzumhur won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dzumhur | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Damir Dzumhur | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 13/24 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 20/35 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dzumhur 0, Arnaldi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dzumhur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dzumhur | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Damir Dzumhur | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.69 | 3.31 |
| ROI % | -29.0% | -27.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.32u | -2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | POR | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Dzumhur's 30%).
| Opponent | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 64 16 16 | W 64 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 46 | L 63 46 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 26 16 | W 75 26 64 |
| Hugo Gaston | L | W 61 57 76 |
| Alex Molcan | W 36 64 63 | L 36 16 |
| Quentin Halys | W 46 63 61 | L 63 16 67 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 26 63 62 |
| Jaume Munar | L 26 67 | W 63 36 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 | W 63 67 76 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 64 46 57 | L 67 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Georgii Kravchenko
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Final
Jul 18
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–57 matches
| Metric | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 52% |
| Sets won | 45% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dzumhur | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.