Cristina Bucsa vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Cristina Bucsa and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2024; Leylah Fernandez leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. Fernandez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 1 sets to Fernandez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Rothesay Open - Nottingham (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 13/16 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 10/36 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Fernandez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2025
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -36.7% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.20u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Bucsa's 17%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Polina Kudermetova | L 75 67 06 | W 62 61 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 16 76 26 | L 46 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 76 26 | L 46 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 64 36 64 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 46 64 67 | L 16 26 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 63 57 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anna Bondar
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Panna Udvardy
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Susan Bandecchi
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–51 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 49% |
| Sets won | 48% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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