Cristina Bucsa vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#38 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 1–6
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleCristina Bucsa and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2024; Leylah Fernandez leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. Fernandez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 1 sets to Fernandez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Rothesay Open - Nottingham (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/41 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Fernandez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 18, 2025
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Bucsa's 11%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | W 16 64 62 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 16 | W 36 63 62 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 62 67 57 | W 63 62 |
| Polina Kudermetova | L 75 67 06 | W 62 61 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 16 76 26 | L 46 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 76 26 | L 46 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 64 36 64 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 46 64 67 | L 16 26 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 63 57 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 18
Sara Bejlek
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Panna Udvardy
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Bianca Andreescu
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sara Bejlek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–58 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 55% |
| Sets won | 50% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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