Corentin Moutet vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Reilly Opelka have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 5 sets to Opelka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 11/36 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 0, Opelka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
🎾 All-Court
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Reilly Opelka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
May 1, 2025
Aix En Provence Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
May 10, 2019
Lyon
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | - |
| ROI % | -54.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Moutet's 0%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | L 67 46 03 | W 63 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 36 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 75 46 63 36 | L 46 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 64 36 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–41 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 52% |
| Sets won | 42% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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