Claire Liu vs Elise MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#96 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5Title2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#19 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Claire Liu and Elise Mertens have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Liu has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Elise Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 22/39 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 27/59 | 29% | 15/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 18/41 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 82% | 23/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 1, Mertens 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Claire Liu and Elise Mertens are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,146 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2022
Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 21, 2022
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Elise Mertens | ||
| 1 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 78% | 14/18 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +13.2% | +1.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.37u | +0.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 8 |
| Distance | 2,056 mi · 3,309 km | 3,134 mi · 5,043 km |
| Route | NED → ITA | POL → AUT → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Liu's 57%).
| Opponent | Liu | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Kaitlin Quevedo | W 75 61 | W 64 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 63 64 | W 36 64 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 76 26 | L 62 67 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 26 64 64 | W 63 63 |
| Ella Seidel | L 67 36 | W 63 64 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W | W 63 61 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 62 26 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Final
Sep 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Semifinals
Sep 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Varvara Lepchenko
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Xiaodi You
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 8
Heather Watson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Polina Iatcenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–59 matches
| Metric | Liu | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 61% |
| Sets won | 61% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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