Caty Mcnally vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#70 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
6wCaty Mcnally and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 1 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mcnally's 70%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | W 46 63 76 | W 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 26 76 | W 61 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 61 | L 46 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | W 75 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 60 | W 61 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | W 60 63 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 36 64 46 | W |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–54 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 68% |
| Sets won | 54% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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