Caty Mcnally vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈCaty Mcnally
#64 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
1 meeting Β· sets 1β2

πΊπΈMadison Keys
#23 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Madison Keys have met 1 time since 2025; Madison Keys leads 1β0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 1 sets to Keys's 2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 25/50 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Keys 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
πΉ Frontrunner
Keys
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
πΉ Frontrunner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β7 | 13β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | -5.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -0.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mcnally and Keys posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Xiyu Wang | W 46 63 76 | W 76 64 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 26 76 | W 61 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 61 | L 46 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | W 75 64 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 60 | W 61 62 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | W 60 63 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W 63 63 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 64 16 60 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β50 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.