Caty Mcnally vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#64 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Daria Kasatkina have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tennis in the Land - Cleveland in 2021 on hard. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Caty Mcnally won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 25/50 | 49% | 17/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 1, Kasatkina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🏹 Frontrunner
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,501 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Caty Mcnally.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 24, 2021
Tennis in the Land - Cleveland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.44 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | -51.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -5.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,228 mi · 1,977 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | ECU → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mcnally has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 46 | L 46 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | L 36 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 36 75 46 |
| Yexin Ma | W 62 63 | W 16 76 75 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 67 61 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 62 36 76 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 26 | L 06 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 76 36 | L 75 16 16 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | L 46 26 | W 26 63 75 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 26 76 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–50 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 43% |
| Sets won | 52% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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