Caty Mcnally vs Daria KasatkinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#70 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 3–2
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Daria Kasatkina have met 2 times since 2021; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tennis in the Land - Cleveland in 2021 on hard. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 3 sets to Kasatkina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Caty Mcnally won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 1, Kasatkina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Caty Mcnally and Daria Kasatkina are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 15,398 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 24, 2021
Tennis in the Land - Cleveland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Kasatkina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Daria Kasatkina | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -31.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -3.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Mcnally and Kasatkina posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 46 | L 46 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 64 | L 36 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 36 75 46 |
| Yexin Ma | W 62 63 | W 16 76 75 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 67 61 64 |
| Emiliana Arango | W 63 60 | W 62 36 76 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 26 | L 06 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 76 36 | L 75 16 16 |
| Tamara Korpatsch | L 46 26 | W 26 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–54 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 51% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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