Casper Ruud vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Thiago Monteiro have met 5 times since 2017; Casper Ruud leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2017 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 7 sets to Monteiro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Monteiro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Casper Ruud.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2024
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 1, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 11, 2019
Braunschweig
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 27, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 18, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Ruud and Monteiro posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–54 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 61% |
| Sets won | 64% | 58% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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