Casper Ruud vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Thiago Monteiro have met 5 times since 2017; Casper Ruud leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2017 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 7 sets to Monteiro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Monteiro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2024
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 1, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 11, 2019
Braunschweig
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 27, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 18, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | CAN | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Monteiro's 0%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 67 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 53% |
| Sets won | 64% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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