Casper Ruud vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Sebastian Ofner have met 3 times since 2023; Casper Ruud leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Nordea Open - Bastad in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. Ruud has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 7 sets to Ofner's 1. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 76% | 22/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Ofner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Ofner
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 22, 2024
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 21, 2023
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +6.5% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.65u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Ofner's 29%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | L 67 26 36 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 76 57 06 62 | L 36 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | L 67 46 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 16 62 46 63 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 76 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Felix Gill
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–55 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 55% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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