Hugo Gaston vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Sebastian Ofner have met 6 times since 2020; Sebastian Ofner leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Hamburg Challenger in 2020 on hard. On clay courts Ofner leads 2–1. On hard courts Ofner leads 2–1. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 5 sets to Ofner's 9. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Ofner won at Thionville Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 33% | 15/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Ofner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ofner
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Ofner.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
Thionville Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 16, 2026
Lille Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 23, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
May 12, 2023
Mauthausen Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 8, 2021
Tulln Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 28, 2020
Hamburg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | -1.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ofner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Gaston's 50%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | L 62 26 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | W 63 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 36 61 | W 67 63 76 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | L 57 26 | W 64 76 |
| Clement Chidekh | L 57 63 46 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Dalibor Svrcina
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Daniel Rincon
Braunschweig Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Hamad Medjedovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–61 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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