Casper Ruud vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 7 times since 2017; Casper Ruud leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 5–1. Ruud has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 13 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 5, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Casper Ruud.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 17, 2021
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 12, 2020
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 11, 2018
Braunschweig
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 13, 2017
Sibiu
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 15, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Ruud and Baena posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | L 67 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 52% |
| Sets won | 64% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 5 | 1 |
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