Casper Ruud vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇳🇴Casper Ruud
#20 · 27 yrs · R
3w7 meetings · sets 13–3
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wCasper Ruud and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 7 times since 2017; Casper Ruud leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 5–1. Ruud has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 13 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 5, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 17, 2021
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 12, 2020
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 11, 2018
Braunschweig
C Clay · Round of 32
Sep 13, 2017
Sibiu
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 15, 2017
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Ruud and Baena posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | L 67 63 57 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 46 61 61 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 55% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 5 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.