Casper Ruud vs Joao SousaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Joao Sousa have met 4 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 4–0. Ruud has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ruud leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 8 sets to Sousa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Sousa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Joao Sousa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Sousa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Sousa
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Casper Ruud.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2023
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 21, 2022
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Feb 28, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 13, 2019
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | - |
| ROI % | +4.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Arthur Fils
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Apr 3
Alejandro Moro Canas
Girona Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 28
Felix Gill
Girona Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 27
Vilius Gaubas
Girona · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 25
Emil Ruusuvuori
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, FIN-POR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Feb 2
Martin Damm
Oeiras 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Oeiras 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 10
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Oeiras 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | - |
| Sets won | 64% | - |
| Games won | 55% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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