Casper Ruud vs Joao SousaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Joao Sousa have met 4 times since 2019; Casper Ruud leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Rio de Janeiro in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 4–0. Ruud has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Ruud leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 8 sets to Sousa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Estoril (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Sousa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Joao Sousa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Sousa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Sousa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Joao Sousa are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 5, 2023
Estoril
C Clay · Round of 16
May 21, 2022
Geneva
C Clay · Final
Feb 28, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 13, 2019
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | -48.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Arthur Fils
Estoril · Round of 32
Apr 3
Alejandro Moro Canas
Girona · Round of 16
Mar 28
Felix Gill
Girona · Round of 32
Mar 27
Vilius Gaubas
Girona · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 25
Martin Damm
Oeiras 2 · Quarterfinals
Jan 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Oeiras 2 · Round of 16
Jan 10
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Oeiras 2 · Round of 32
Jan 9
Maks Kasnikowski
Oeiras 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | - |
| Sets won | 64% | - |
| Games won | 55% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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