Joao Sousa vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Sousa and Mackenzie McDonald have met 5 times since 2019; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sousa has taken 8 sets to McDonald's 7. Their most recent meeting: Joao Sousa won at US Open (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sousa | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Sousa | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 68% | 17/25 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 24% | 6/25 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 28% | 14/50 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 50% | 15/30 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 29% | 5/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 41% | 7/17 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 87% | 20/23 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 74% | 17/23 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sousa 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sousa
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Joao Sousa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2022
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Jun 19, 2022
Mallorca
G Grass · Round of 32
May 7, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 30, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.96 |
| ROI % | - | -24.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.72u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Estoril · Round of 32
Apr 3
Alejandro Moro Canas
Girona · Round of 16
Mar 28
Felix Gill
Girona · Round of 32
Mar 27
Vilius Gaubas
Girona · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 25
Martin Damm
Oeiras 2 · Quarterfinals
Jan 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Oeiras 2 · Round of 16
Jan 10
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Oeiras 2 · Round of 32
Jan 9
Maks Kasnikowski
Oeiras 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 5
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Adam Walton
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Patrick Kypson
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Roberto Carballes Baena
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Shintaro Mochizuki
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–53 matches
| Metric | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 49% |
| Sets won | - | 48% |
| Games won | - | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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