Joao Sousa vs Mackenzie McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Sousa and Mackenzie McDonald have met 5 times since 2019; Mackenzie McDonald leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Sousa has taken 8 sets to McDonald's 7. Their most recent meeting: Joao Sousa won at U.S. Open - New York (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sousa | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Sousa | Mackenzie McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 65% | 13/20 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 32% | 9/28 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 33% | 16/48 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 42% | 11/26 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 37% | 7/19 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 24% | 4/17 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 74% | 14/19 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 68% | 13/19 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sousa 1, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sousa
🏹 Frontrunner
McDonald
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 19, 2022
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 1st Round
May 7, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 30, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -5.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Apr 3
Alejandro Moro Canas
Girona Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 28
Felix Gill
Girona Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 27
Vilius Gaubas
Girona · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 25
Emil Ruusuvuori
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, FIN-POR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Feb 2
Martin Damm
Oeiras 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Oeiras 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 10
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Oeiras 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Toby Samuel
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefano Napolitano
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Yibing Wu
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 41% |
| Sets won | - | 43% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sousa | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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