Casper Ruud vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ดCasper Ruud
#24 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 6โ4

๐ซ๐ทGael Monfils
#254 ยท 40 yrs ยท R
6w3Casper Ruud and Gael Monfils have met 3 times since 2018; Casper Ruud leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Quito in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Ruud leads 2โ0. Ruud has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 6 sets to Monfils's 4. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 0, Monfils 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
๐ค Servebot
Monfils
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Gael Monfils are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Feb 8, 2018
Quito
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Gael Monfils | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ3 | 2โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | +14.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | โ |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Monfils's 0%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | W 64 76 | L 36 46 36 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L | L 76 36 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Fabian Marozsan | L 46 46 | L 75 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 15โ53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 33% |
| Sets won | 64% | 42% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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