Casper Ruud vs Cristian GarinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Cristian Garin have met 5 times since 2019; Cristian Garin leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sao Paulo in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Garin leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Garin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 5 sets to Garin's 7. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Garin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Cristian Garin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Garin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Casper Ruud.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2023
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 12, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 5, 2022
ATP Cup - Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 14, 2019
Houston
C Clay · Final
Mar 2, 2019
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +6.5% | +39.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.65u | +1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Garin's 33%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | W 64 76 | L 06 62 06 26 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | L 67 57 67 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 61 62 | W 76 75 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | W 76 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | L 64 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 54% |
| Sets won | 64% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Garin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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