Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 · 27 yrs · R
8 meetings · sets 8–13
🇦🇷Tomas Martin Etcheverry
#31 · 27 yrs · R
4Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Martin Etcheverry have met 8 times since 2021; Tomas Martin Etcheverry leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Trieste Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Etcheverry leads 4–2. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Etcheverry's 13. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Martin Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 47% | 26/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Martin Etcheverry 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Etcheverry
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 21, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2022
Concepcion 2 Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 10, 2022
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 10, 2021
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 27, 2021
Trieste Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -50.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | -5.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Etcheverry has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Carabelli's 33%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | W 64 64 63 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 46 36 36 | W 76 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 36 36 | W 62 36 46 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 62 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | W 75 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | W 36 76 64 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 36 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Vit Kopriva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–64 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 53% |
| Sets won | 47% | 51% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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