Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76 · 27 yrs · R
8 meetings · sets 8–13

🇦🇷Tomas Martin Etcheverry
#31 · 27 yrs · R
4Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Martin Etcheverry have met 8 times since 2021; Tomas Martin Etcheverry leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Trieste Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Etcheverry leads 4–2. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Etcheverry's 13. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Martin Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 80% | 24/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 60% | 18/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Martin Etcheverry 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Etcheverry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Oct 28, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 24, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 21, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2022
Concepcion 2 Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 10, 2022
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 10, 2021
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jul 27, 2021
Trieste Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -74.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -5.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Etcheverry has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Carabelli's 25%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 36 36 | W 62 36 46 63 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 62 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | W 75 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | W 36 76 64 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 36 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Ignacio Buse
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jurij Rodionov
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Rinderknech
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–61 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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