Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Timofey SkatovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Timofey Skatov have met 3 times since 2023; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 3–0. Carabelli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 6 sets to Skatov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Timofey Skatov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 25% | 8/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 24% | 15/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Skatov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Skatov
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 143 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Timofey Skatov.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 31, 2026
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 3, 2023
Luedenscheid Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Timofey Skatov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 3.21 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +17.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +2.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Skatov's 20%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Moez Echargui | L | W 63 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | L 16 16 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 06 63 46 | L 26 16 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 16 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Barrena
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–63 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 48% |
| Sets won | 47% | 48% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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