Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Timofey SkatovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Timofey Skatov have met 3 times since 2023; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 3–0. Carabelli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 6 sets to Skatov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Timofey Skatov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 27% | 16/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Skatov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Skatov
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Timofey Skatov.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 31, 2026
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 3, 2023
Luedenscheid Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Timofey Skatov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 10–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.76 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | +22.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | +4.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | SMR → GER → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Skatov's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 16 61 36 67 | L 16 16 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 06 63 46 | L 26 16 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 16 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 36 16 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 67 46 | L 67 62 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Gauthier Onclin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Alex Barrena
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Otto Virtanen
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Thomas Faurel
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andrey Rublev
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jesper de Jong
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–60 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 45% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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