Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Agustin TirantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 · 27 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇦🇷Thiago Agustin Tirante
#54 · 25 yrs · R
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Thiago Agustin Tirante have met 3 times since 2022; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Heilbronn Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 2–1. Carabelli has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Carabelli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 4 sets to Tirante's 3. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Concepcion Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Agustin Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 37% | 22/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Agustin Tirante 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Tirante
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Agustin Tirante.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 25, 2023
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 14, 2022
Lima Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 11, 2022
Heilbronn Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +35.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | +4.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tirante has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Carabelli's 30%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 64 26 36 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 46 36 36 | L 16 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 46 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | W 63 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 16 16 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 36 75 75 | L 67 57 63 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 76 16 46 | W 63 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 26 76 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 64 36 36 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hamad Medjedovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–67 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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