Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Maks Kasnikowski have met 3 times since 2021; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Warsaw Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasnikowski leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 5 sets to Kasnikowski's 3. Their most recent meeting: Maks Kasnikowski won at Poznan Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 81% | 43/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 34% | 27/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 66% | 39/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 82% | 46/56 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 77% | 43/56 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Kasnikowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 233 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maks Kasnikowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2024
Poznan Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 31, 2022
Poznan Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 25, 2021
Warsaw Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 11–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -15.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -3.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kasnikowski's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Merida | L 64 63 26 03 | L 46 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Philip Henning
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Otto Virtanen
Tampere Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Hynek Barton
Tampere Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Eero Vasa
Tampere Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Louis Wessels
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francesco Passaro
Bastad
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–80 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 66% |
| Sets won | 47% | 66% |
| Games won | 48% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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