Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Maks Kasnikowski have met 3 times since 2021; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Warsaw Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasnikowski leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 5 sets to Kasnikowski's 3. Their most recent meeting: Maks Kasnikowski won at Poznan Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 79% | 42/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 35% | 29/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 61% | 38/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 82% | 47/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 74% | 42/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Kasnikowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maks Kasnikowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2024
Poznan Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 31, 2022
Poznan Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 25, 2021
Warsaw Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.21 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -36.3% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.99u | -4.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Kasnikowski posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | L 36 26 | W 64 36 75 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Christian Langmo
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elmer Moller
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–84 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 63% |
| Sets won | 47% | 63% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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