Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Genaro Alberto OlivieriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 · 27 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 8–1

🇦🇷Genaro Alberto Olivieri
#287 · 28 yrs · R
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Genaro Alberto Olivieri have met 4 times since 2022; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Coquimbo 2 Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 4–0. Carabelli has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Olivieri's 1. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Montevideo Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Alberto Olivieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 37% | 22/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 54% | 14/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 3, Alberto Olivieri 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Olivieri
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 98 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2024
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 21, 2024
Poznan Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 14, 2023
Vina del Mar Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2022
Coquimbo 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Olivieri | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.21 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -36.3% | +16.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.99u | +1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Olivieri's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | L 36 16 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 36 16 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 26 57 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Valerio Aboian
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Valerio Aboian
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Dali Blanch
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–59 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 44% |
| Sets won | 47% | 44% |
| Games won | 48% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Olivieri |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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