Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Facundo Diaz AcostaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76 · 27 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 8–6
🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitleCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Facundo Diaz Acosta have met 6 times since 2018; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Montevideo in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 4–2. Carabelli has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Acosta's 6. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rosario Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Diaz Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 61% | 35/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 39% | 31/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 44% | 27/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 74% | 35/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 2, Diaz Acosta 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2026
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 25, 2023
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 20, 2022
Coquimbo 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2022
Buenos Aires 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2021
Cordoba
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 5, 2018
Montevideo
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 11/22 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 9% | 2/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -1.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -0.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Acosta's 0%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 57 64 63 67 36 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 26 67 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | L 57 06 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–81 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 72% |
| Sets won | 47% | 65% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 2 |
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