Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Facundo Diaz AcostaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 · 27 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 8–6
🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#69 · 25 yrs · L
TitleCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Facundo Diaz Acosta have met 6 times since 2018; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Montevideo in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 4–2. Carabelli has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Acosta's 6. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rosario Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Diaz Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 63% | 34/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 37% | 28/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 47% | 27/58 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 74% | 34/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 2, Diaz Acosta 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Acosta
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Diaz Acosta.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2026
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 25, 2023
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 20, 2022
Coquimbo 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2022
Buenos Aires 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2021
Cordoba
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 5, 2018
Montevideo
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.21 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -36.3% | +3.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.99u | +0.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 6,623 mi · 10,659 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | ESP → POL → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Acosta's 17%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | L 36 26 | W 46 63 64 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 62 36 | L 46 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 57 64 63 67 36 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 26 67 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | L 57 06 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniel Elahi Galan
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alejandro Moro Canas
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–78 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 71% |
| Sets won | 47% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.