Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ethan QuinnPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦π·Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 1β4

πΊπΈEthan Quinn
#66 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
15wCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Ethan Quinn have met 2 times since 2025; Ethan Quinn leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2025 on hard. Quinn has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 1 sets to Quinn's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ethan Quinn won at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Quinn | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Ethan Quinn | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 39% | 16/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 0, Quinn 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
βοΈ Grinder
Quinn
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs βοΈ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ethan Quinn.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2025
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Mar 18, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.43 | - |
| ROI % | -47.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.24u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 3,172 mi Β· 5,105 km | β |
| Route | CHN β JPN β CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Quinn has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Carabelli's 25%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Norrie | L 67 46 | L 36 64 46 |
| Daniel Merida | L 64 63 26 03 | W 63 61 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 63 64 | W 16 64 64 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | L 46 67 67 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 36 64 67 | W 67 64 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | L 36 63 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 26 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 16 26 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Luciano Darderi
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Final
Jun 27
Nuno Borges
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Semifinals
Jun 26
Vit Kopriva
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Murphy Cassone
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Valentin Royer
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Ben Shelton
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 47β49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Quinn |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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