Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Elahi GalanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 · 27 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 2–6
🇨🇴Daniel Elahi Galan
#383 · 30 yrs · R
3wCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Elahi Galan have met 4 times since 2019; Daniel Elahi Galan leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Lima in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Galan leads 3–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 2 sets to Galan's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Elahi Galan won at BMW Open - Munich (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Elahi Galan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Daniel Elahi Galan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 42% | 20/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Elahi Galan 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Galan
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 166 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2024
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 14, 2023
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 21, 2022
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 15, 2019
Lima
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Galan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Daniel Elahi Galan | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Galan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.21 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -36.3% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.99u | +0.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Galan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 910 mi · 1,465 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | POL → BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Galan's 33%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Galan |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | W 57 64 76 | W 57 62 63 |
| Marko Topo | W 67 76 63 | L 26 64 36 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 06 63 62 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Calvin Hemery
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Marko Topo
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–49 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Galan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 48% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Galan |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Galan |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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