Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel AltmaierPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทCamilo Ugo Carabelli
#77 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐ฉ๐ชDaniel Altmaier
#67 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
3Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Altmaier have met 2 times since 2021; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Santiago Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 2โ0. Carabelli has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 4 sets to Altmaier's 1. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Warsaw Challenger (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Altmaier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Daniel Altmaier | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 19% | 6/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 29% | 16/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 74% | 14/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 1, Altmaier 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
โ๏ธ Grinder
Altmaier
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Altmaier.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2021
Warsaw Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2021
Santiago Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Altmaier | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Daniel Altmaier | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ8 | 5โ9 |
| Avg odds | 3.21 | 2.75 |
| ROI % | -36.3% | -17.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.99u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi ยท 5,105 km | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN โ JPN โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Altmaier's 30%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 64 67 57 | L 64 46 64 16 67 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 26 36 | W 75 62 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | L 67 57 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 76 | W 61 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 36 36 | L |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 36 46 | L 26 16 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 46 76 26 | W 64 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 76 | L 16 36 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 16 62 63 | L 67 06 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 76 16 57 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Ben Shelton
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 9
Holger Rune
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Zachary Svajda
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ59 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 41% |
| Sets won | 47% | 41% |
| Games won | 48% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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