Camila Osorio vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Camila Osorio
Unranked · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
15w4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka have met 4 times since 2022; Naomi Osaka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–1. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 3 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osorio | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camila Osorio | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 8/13 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 11/26 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 11/12 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osorio 1, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 6, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 18, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.46 |
| ROI % | - | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Osorio's 67%).
| Opponent | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 26 57 | L 57 61 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 61 64 | W 62 57 61 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 60 63 | W 76 76 |
| Panna Udvardy | L 57 36 | W 62 64 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 64 | W 62 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 76 63 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Ajla Tomljanovic
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Yulia Putintseva
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Anna Kalinskaya
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 27
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Panna Udvardy
Rabat · Quarterfinals
May 22
Janice Tjen
Rabat · Round of 16
May 21
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–44 matches
| Metric | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 75% |
| Sets won | 51% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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