Camila Osorio vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Camila Osorio
Unranked · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
8w4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Camila Osorio and Naomi Osaka have met 4 times since 2022; Naomi Osaka leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–1. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 3 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osorio | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camila Osorio | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 13/31 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osorio 1, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Mar 6, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2025
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 18, 2022
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.77 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -50.0% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.50u | +1.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Osorio's 40%).
| Opponent | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Panna Udvardy | L 57 36 | W 62 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 64 26 57 | L 67 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 64 26 | L 67 36 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 62 64 | W 62 62 |
| Iva Jovic | W 46 76 63 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Ajla Tomljanovic
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Yulia Putintseva
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Anna Kalinskaya
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 27
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Panna Udvardy
Rabat · Quarterfinals
May 22
Janice Tjen
Rabat · Round of 16
May 21
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–44 matches
| Metric | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 73% |
| Sets won | 51% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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