Cameron Norrie vs Facundo Diaz AcostaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇬🇧Cameron Norrie
#33 · 31 yrs · L
3 meetings · sets 5–3

🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitleCameron Norrie and Facundo Diaz Acosta have met 3 times since 2023; Cameron Norrie leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires in 2023 on clay. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 5 sets to Acosta's 3. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at ASB Classic - Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Diaz Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 61% | 35/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 39% | 31/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 44% | 27/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 74% | 35/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Diaz Acosta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 7, 2025
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 2, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 15, 2023
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 50% | 11/22 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 9% | 2/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -1.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -0.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Acosta's 17%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | L 75 46 67 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 63 64 | L 75 67 57 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 63 67 | L 57 64 63 67 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 67 02 | L 67 36 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 67 46 | W 76 46 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 57 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–81 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 72% |
| Sets won | 53% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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