Cameron Norrie vs Ergi KirkinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Ergi Kirkin have met 1 time since 2025; Cameron Norrie leads 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 2 sets to Kirkin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Geneva (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Kirkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Ergi Kirkin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 77% | 30/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 25% | 17/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 61% | 27/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 81% | 30/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Kirkin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Kirkin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 17, 2025
Geneva
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Kirkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Ergi Kirkin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | -33.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -5.38u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ewen Lumsden
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 16
Adrian Boitan
Istanbul Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Keshav Chopra
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Giorgio Tabacco
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Togan Tokac
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Mika Brunold
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–67 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 58% |
| Sets won | 51% | 57% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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