Brandon Nakashima and Camilo Ugo Carabelli have met 2 times since 2024; Brandon Nakashima leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at BNP Paribas Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,469 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Brandon Nakashima.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Carabelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -1.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.68u | -0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Carabelli's 60%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | W 63 36 75 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 63 63 | L 67 16 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 63 | L 46 26 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 67 64 57 61 63 | W 06 63 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 46 06 | W 16 62 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 76 64 | L 46 76 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 67 46 | W 76 76 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 75 | W 75 61 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 46 62 46 | L 36 46 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 62 | W 76 63 |
Last five matches per player
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Ignacio Buse
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marton Fucsovics
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 16
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Luca Van Assche
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–54 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
