ATP 500 · Quarterfinals · Bitpanda Hamburg Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
🤖 Servebot
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,039 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Aleksandar Kovacevic here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–11 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.82 | 2.88 |
| ROI % | +27.1% | +3.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.68u | +0.74u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kovacevic
0
Carabelli
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kovacevic's 10%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 46 | W 63 36 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 16 | L 46 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 63 67 | W 76 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 61 67 | L 16 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 62 26 67 | W 76 57 63 |
| Marcos Giron | L 26 63 46 | L 67 67 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 46 26 | L 67 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 46 63 | W 26 63 76 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 36 76 16 75 46 | L 67 16 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kovacevic | Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.4% | 61.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.8% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.4% | 51.3% |
| Aces / Match | 7.7 | 5.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.4% | 58.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29% | 31.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.4% | 51.8% |
| BP Converted % | 45.9% | 36.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27.7 | 23.4 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.7 | 26.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.8% | 70.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 47% | 53% |
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 19
Arthur Gea
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 17
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Zhizhen Zhang
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Alejandro Tabilo
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 12
Match summary
Aleksandar Kovacevic meets Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the quarterfinals of the Bitpanda Hamburg Open on May 21, a clay court event that will test two contrasting approaches to the surface. Kovacevic, ranked 94th, arrives with a two-match winning streak after playing seven times in fourteen days. Carabelli, seeded 68th, also won his last two matches but has played only four times in the same span.
The two have never faced each other. Both players have won three of their last five matches and five of their last ten. On clay, however, their profiles diverge sharply. Kovacevic has converted only 40% of his recent clay court matches, while Carabelli has won 60% of his clay outings, indicating markedly different comfort levels on the surface.
Kovacevic relies on a powerful serve to dictate points and shorten rallies, a strategy that can prove inconsistent on the slower clay. Carabelli operates as a reactive player who builds points from the baseline and capitalizes on opponent errors, a style traditionally well-suited to clay. The match will hinge on whether Kovacevic can find his first serve and impose his game early, or whether Carabelli's ability to absorb pace and redirect play proves the stronger proposition.
Share this match
