Braden Shick vs Rio NoguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Braden Shick and Rio Noguchi have met 1 time since 2026; Rio Noguchi leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shick has taken 1 sets to Noguchi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rio Noguchi won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shick | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Braden Shick | Rio Noguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 51/69 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 4/20 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 22/89 | 40% | 24/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 30/48 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 68% | 21/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 60/62 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 51/62 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shick 0, Noguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shick
🪃 Counterpuncher
Noguchi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shick | Noguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Braden Shick | Rio Noguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shick | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +28.7% | -6.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.31u | -0.85u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Shick's 20%).
| Opponent | Shick | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | L 26 26 | L 46 46 |
| Fajing Sun | W 61 62 | W 76 46 76 |
| Keegan Smith | L 06 67 | L 36 64 26 |
| Harry Wendelken | L 46 46 | W 64 26 64 |
| Tai Sach | L 46 63 57 | L 62 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
August Holmgren
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Bernard Tomic
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Timo Legout
Cary Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Jay Friend
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Fajing Sun
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Braden Shick
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Charles Broom
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Andre Ilagan
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–90 matches
| Metric | Shick | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 55% |
| Sets won | 71% | 53% |
| Games won | 58% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shick | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shick | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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